Collinson Forex Daily Market Commentary and Weekly Calendar

Monday, November 20, 2023


Daily Market Commentary

Market confidence continues to grow, as inflation tumbles across Europe and the US, signalling a probable end to Central Bank interest rate rises. The latest confirmation, came from the EU latest inflation reading, with the headline rate plunging from 4.3% to 2.9%. This is great news for Central Bankers and the wider economies, as interest rate rises have damaged growth. The problem now is reigniting economic growth without inflation. The November rally in equity markets continues, as does the fall in US and European Bond Yields. The US Dollar was softer, allowing the EUR to regain 1.0900, while the GBP pushed back to 1.2450.

The inflation problem is falling from the headlines, but the weak European and US economies have hit commodity demand hard, as evidenced by the recent collapse in Oil prices. The weaker reserve has been offset by flagging demand pressures, with the NZD holding below 0.6000, while the AUD struggles to hold 0.6500. The coming week will focus on economic growth and Central Bank speculations and commentaries.

Weekly Market Calendar

20/11 German PPI, Spain Consumer Confidence

21/11 NZ Trade Exports/Imports, RBA Minutes, NZ Credit Card Spending, Canada Inflation, Chicago Fed National Activity Index

22/11 NZ Dairy Prices, US Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes, US Weekly Mortgage Applications, US Durable Goods Orders, US Weekly Jobless Claims

23/11 Australia Services/Manufacturing/Composite flash PMI, France Business Confidence, UK/France/German/EU Services/Manufacturing/Composite flash PMI

24/11 NZ Retail Sales, Japan CPI, UK Consumer Confidence, Japan Services/Manufacturing/Composite flash PMI, German GDP, France Consumer Confidence, German Ifo Business Climate, US Services/Manufacturing/Composite flash PMI

   
PLEASE NOTE THE VIEWS EXPRESSED IN THIS COMMENTARY ARE THOSE OF THE AUTHOR AND NOT COLLINSON & CO

Paul Bettany   I   Collinson Forex Limited    Collinson & Co.  Private Banking   

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